Award season is upon us:

The SAG AWARD and Golden Globe Award nominations came out this week.

Pundits and predictors are saying “I told you so and/or scratching their heads” at the snubs and surprises.  This year there are so many great films and performances to choose from; there is an anything goes feel to the end of year awards.  Despite this, there does seem to be some nomination locks.  For lead actor Chiwetel Ejiofar in 12 Years a Slave and Tom Hanks from Captain Phillips were nominated for both awards.  So was Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyer’s Club) and Bruce Dern (Nebraska) (photo below.All four of these are safe bets for an Oscar nod, with the chances best in the order they are listed here.

Similarly, the best lead actress has two locks as well:  Sandra Bullock (Gravity) and Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine).  Unlike the male leads, all five women nominated for the SAG award were also nominated for a Golden Globe, making the mystery of the Oscar nominations in this category not so mysterious.

Four out of five of the best supporting actress nominees are the same.  Exceptions are Oprah Winfrey’s nod from SAG, but snub from the Golden Globes, here she switched places with Sally Hawkins from Blue Jasmine.

Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)(photo below) is the favorite in the best supporting actor race, and his turn as a transvestite is getting more and more buzz, even though the film is in limited release.  Again there are four duplicate nominations, odd men out are: James Gandolfini was not nominated for a Golden Globe Award and Bradley Cooper (American Hustle) was left off the SAG list.

 

The SAG awards are only given in acting categories and are nominated by fellow guild members.  The Golden Globes incorporate more categories, including writing and directing for film and best drama and comedy TV programs. Therefore unlike the Oscars which only include commercially released films SAG and GG include both film and TV categories. 

Perhaps the biggest omission on these two lists is the absence of Fruitvale Station. Just a few weeks ago it seemed like Octavia Spencer was a lock for best supporting actress in this film, but she didn’t show up on either list this week.

Stay tuned for the Oscar nominations, which will be announced on January 16, 2014.

FULL LIST OF GOLDEN GLOBE NOMINATIONS

FULL LIST OF SAG NOMINATIONS