WYANDANCH, N.Y. (WWNY) - Even by conservative estimates, the statewide COVID-19 positivity rate could quadruple by January.
Because, Gov. Andrew Cuomo says, Thanksgiving is just the start.
“Thanksgiving isn’t just Thanksgiving,” he said at a news conference on Long Island Tuesday. “Thanksgiving is the start of the holiday season.”
The season, he says, lasts through New Year’s Day, and is about 37 days long.
“And that is a period of increased social activity,” he said.
The more increased social activity, Cuomo said, the more the virus will spread.
Cuomo said even without the holidays, by the current rate of increase in COVID -- 128 percent over three weeks -- “we’re going to see a major spike.”
And if holiday social activity increases the current rate by 20 percent, “which is the low end of what the experts suggest,” Cuomo said, the state’s positivity rate will go from its current 2.9 percent to about 12 percent.
“That, my friends, is a real problem,” the governor said.